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Microsoft Word - ilan sayfa
INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON COMPARATIVE STUDIES
OF THE NORTH ANATOLIAN FAULT
(NORTHWEST TURKEY)
AND THE SAN ANDREAS FAULT
(SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA)
ISTANBUL TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY
AUGUST 14-18, 2006
SPONSORES
ISTANBUL TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY
ITU FACULTY OF MINES
NATIONAL SCIENCES FOUNDATION
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE CENTER
ITU INSTITUTE OF EURASIA EARTH SCIENCES
ISTANBUL TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY - FACULTY OF MINES
DEPARTMENT OF GEOLOGICAL ENGINEERING -DIVISION OF GENERAL GEOLOGY
MASLAK /ISTANBUL 34596
Organizing Committee (alphabetical):
Naci Görür, Chair, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
A. M. Celal engör, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
Cenk Yaltrak, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
Christopher Sorlien, University of California -Santa Barbara, USA
Geoffrey King, Institute of Physics of the Earth, Paris, France
Koji Okumura, Hiroshima University, Japan
Leonardo Seeber, Columbia University, NY, USA
M. Namk Çaatay, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
Marie-Helene Cormier, University of Missouri -Columbia, USA
Mehmet Çelebi, US Geological Survey, USA
Nafi Toksöz, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, USA
Robert Reilinger, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, USA
Sinan Akçiz, University of California -Irvine, USA
Thomas Jordan, University of Southern California, USA
Thomas Rockwell, San Diego State University, USA
14 AUGUST 2006 MONDAY
09.00-09.25 REGISTRATION
09.25-09.40 OPPENING SPEECHES
Naci GÖRÜR (Cahirman) Faruk KARADOAN (ITU, Rector)
INTRODUCTORY SESSION
09.40-10.05 Naci GÖRÜR, Istanbul Technical University
A Breif history of earthquake research in the Sea of Marmara
since the 1999 Earthquakes
10.05-10.35 Thomas JORDAN, University of Southern California &
Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC)
The SCECs program of earthquake system science in southern
California
10.35-10.50 Coffee Break
SESSION-1
THE NORTH ANATOLIAN AND SAN ANDREAS FAULT SYSTEMS
10.50-11.20 A.M.Celal ENGÖR, Istanbul Technical University
The North Anatolian Fault
11.20-11.50 James DOLAN, University of Southern California
Comparison of paleoseismological evidence for patterns of
earthquake occurrence on the North Anatolian and San Andreas
Faults: The importance of structural context
11.50 LUNCH
SESSION-2
EVOLUTION OF TRANSFORM SYSTEMS FROM DECADAL TO
MILLION-YEAR TIMESCALES
13.15-13.40 David BOWMAN, California State University
Lessons for the tectonics of the Western USA from the evolution
of the North Anatolian Fault and the Aegean
13.40-14.05 Aral OKAY, Istanbul Technical University
Evolution of transform basins and ridges with special references
to the Marmara Sea
14.05-14.30 smail KUÇU MTA,
Stepover Geometry in the Gemlik Bay on the Southern Strand of
the NAF
14.30-15.00 Panel-led discussion
15.00-15.15 COFFEE BREAK
SESSION-3
FAULT KINEMATICS: HOLOCENE EARTHQUAKE CYCLES
15.15-15.40 Thomas ROCKWELL, San Diego State University
Paleoseismology of the 1912, 1944 and 1999 ruptures on the
North Anatolian fault: Implications for late Holocene patterns
of strain release
15.40-16.05 Elizabeth HEARN, University of British Columbia,
Vancouver
Dynamics of the North Anatolian and San Andreas fault zones:
Hypotheses, models, and open questions
16.05-16.30 Robert REILINGER, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
Cambridge Semih ERGNTAV, Marmara Research Center,
Gebze
Space geodetic constraints on the earthquake deformation cycle
along the North Anatolian Fault
DISCUSSIONS IN BREAKOUT GROUPS
16.40-18.20 Topics will be selected from following list or other suggestions
What factors account for time-varying behavior, why the differences
between SAF and NAF?
What drives vertical motions?
Strain partitioning versus oblique motion
Effects of pre-existing structures on the orientation and evolution of active
ones
Controversies: continued pull-apart extension, cessation of extreme
extension, dipping faults?
Fault bends, partially blind faults, slip partitioning, and oblique slip?
Quantitative structural models for meaningful comparisons of the North
Anatolian and San Andreas fault systems
How is stress accommodated and transferred during the earthquake cycle?
Vertical axis rotation and affect on displacement on domain-bounding
faults
Discriminating loading determined from GPS on sub-parallel deeply-
locked faults
Basin effects on GPS data (fluids, sediment compaction).
GPS deformation modeled using 3D fault representations.
15 AUGUST 2006, TUESDAY
09.00-09.45 Breakout groups reporting on discussion from previous day
SESSION-4
FAULT RUPTURES: SEGMENTATION, TRIGGERING,
CLUSTERING
09.45-10.10 Susan HOUGH, US Geological Survey, Pasadena
Remotely
triggered
earthquakes
10.10-10.35
Susana CUSTÓDIO University of California Santa Barbara
The Parkfield Section of the San Andreas Fault, California:
Characteristic or Complementary Earthquake Ruptures?
10.35-10.50 COFFEE BREAK
SESSION-5
DETAILED STRATIGRAPHIC STUDIES, FIELD STUDIES, AND
SEISMOTECTONICS
10.50-11.15 Namk ÇAATAY, Istanbul Technical University
Late Quaternary stratigraphy and sedimentology of the
Marmara Sea: Implications for tectonic studies
11.15-11.40 Ali KOÇYIGIT, Middle East technical University (METU),
Ankara
The transition zone between the extensional and strike-slip
neotectonic regimes in southern Marmara region: Bursa
Graben
11.40-12.05 Okan TÜYSÜZ, Istanbul Technical University
Morphotectonic features along the Tosya-Havza segment of the
North Anatolian Fault
12.05-12.30 Craig NICHOLSON, University of California Santa Barbara
Combining high-resolution climate studies and tectonics:
Imaging complex folding in 4diimensions above active blind
faults
12.30-13.00PANEL-LED DISCUSSION
13.00 LUNCH SESSION-6
EARTHQUAKE HAZARDS
14.15-14.40 Mustafa ERDK, Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake
Research Institute, Istanbul
Assessment of earthquake hazard in Marmara Region, Turkey
14.40-15.05 Kim OLSEN, San Diego State University
TeraShake: Large-scale simulation of ground motion in Los
Angeles for a M7.7 earthquake on the southern San Andreas
Fault
15.05-15.30 Sinan ÖZEREN, Istanbul Technical University
A semi-spectral approach for the mathematical modeling for the
underwater landslide tsunami scenarios in the Sea of Marmara
15.30-15.45 COFFEE BREAK
SESSION-7
POSTERS & DISCUSSIONS
15.45-17.15 Poster titles in the Abstract Books
17.15-18.30 DISCUSSIONS IN BREAKOUT GROUPS
Topics to be selected from following list or other suggestions made during
the workshop:
Stress loading and earthquake clustering.
Complex fault geometries, rock type, rupture patterns, and dynamics of fault
rupture
Microseismicity and fault zone properties
The need for quality stratigraphy to characterize tectonic evolution and
deformation rates
Dual use of high-resolution seismic data and cores for paleoclimate and
paleoseismology
Fluid flow along fault zones, and its impact on earthquakes
Does shallow velocity structure near fault affect ground motions at distant
site?
Assessing tsunami and landslide hazards
16 AUGUST 2006, WEDNESDAY
09.00-09.45 Reports from the breakout groups from previous day
SESSION-9
STRATEGIES FOR MULTINATIONAL AND MULTIDISCIPLINARY
INVESTIGATIONS
09.45-10.05 Thomas JORDAN
Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability
10.05-10.25 Naci GÖRÜR
Strategies for future investigations of the North Anatolian Fault
10.25-10.40 COFFEE BREAK
SESSION-10
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR FAULT IMAGING AND
MONITORING
10.40-11.00 David CHADWELL, Scripps Oceanographic Institution, San
Diego
Underwater
geodetic
monitoring
11.00-11.20 Mike JACKSON, UNAVCO (NAVstar COnsortium), Boulder
The EarthScope Plate Boundary Observatory
11.20-11.40 Roland PERSON, Ifremer, Brest
ESONET: The European Seafloor Observatory NETwork
11.40-12.15 PANEL-LED DISCUSSION
12.15-13.30 LUNCH
SESSION-11
RECENT, ON-GOING, OR UPCOMING INVESTIGATIONS
ALONG THE NORTH ANATOLIAN FAULT AND THE SAN ANDREAS
FAULT
13.30-13.45 Pierre HENRY, College de France, Aix-en-Provence
Cold seeps a