ysis and Simulation Center (VMASC)
1030 University Boulevard, Suffolk, VA

Overview
Since 9/11, the United States has taken many important
steps at federal, state and local levels to deal with
potential risks to our Nations critical infrastructure
caused by natural and man-made disasters. The
United States Department of Homeland Security
continues to observe and learn much about the impacts
of catastrophic events on critical infrastructure from
studying and analyzing natural and man-made events
such as 9/11, Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, and
numerous other natural disasters.

In keeping with the Presidents 2007 proposed
comprehensive all hazards national security strategy
and holistic approach to homeland security designed to
foster a Culture of Preparedness that permeates all
levels of our society from individual citizens,
businesses, and non-profit organizations to Federal,
State, local, and Tribal government officials and
authorities, the Department of Homeland Security will
convene a special workshop on Critical Infrastructure
and Key Resources (CI/KR) analysis and capabilities to
document best practices and best uses of current and
evolving modeling and simulation methodologies.

The Department of Homeland Security, Science and
Technology Directorate (DHS-S&T) will host a
workshop on understanding the consequences of
catastrophic events on critical infrastructure using
modeling and simulation tools and methods to
represent, analyze and manage incidents entitled:

Future Directions in Critical Infrastructure Modeling
and Simulation



Program Committee

Dr. Nabil R. Adam, DHS-S&T (Chair)
Dr. Bilal M. Ayyub, UMD
Arlo Ames, Sandia NL
Dr. James E. Coolahan, JHU
Dr. Steven Fernandez, Oak Ridge NL
Gerry Frazier,
DHS/NPPD/IP/IASD/NISAC
Zach Furness, MITRE Corp
R. Wayne Hardie, NISAC/Los Alamos
NL
Dan Horschel , Sandia NL
Dr. Charles W. Hutchings, DHS-S&T
Dr. Mary Ellen Hynes, DHS-S&T
Dr. Jim Kadtke, National Defense
U./GMU, CIP
Dr. Frederick Krimgold, Virginia Tech
William Laska, DHS-S&T
Rene LeClaire, Los Alamos NL
Dr. Ignacio Martinez-Moyano,
Argonne NL
Dr. Mike McGinnis, BG(Ret.),
VMASC, ODU (Co-chair)
Randy Michelsen, Los Alamos NL
Dr. Pieter J. Mosterman, MathWorks,
Inc.
Curtis J. Papke, Idaho NL
Dr. James P. Peerenboom, Argonne
NL
Dr. Walter M. Polansky, DOE
Dr. Steven M. Rinaldi, Sandia NL
Michael Samsa, Argonne NL
Dr. William H. Sanders, U. of Illinois
Lillian Snyder, Sandia NL
Dr. Laura J. Steinberg, SMU
Dr. Samuel G. Varnado
,
NIHS

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Workshop Goals and Objectives
The objective of the workshop is to provide a forum for researchers and practitioners
dealing with critical infrastructure modeling & simulation (M&S) with a focus on multi-
events, multi-threats and cascading effects, to assess the current state-of-the-art,
identify challenges, and develop strategies for addressing these challenges.

The results of the workshop will help DHS-S&T formulate a near and long term research
strategy, plans and objectives for modeling & simulation of the nations critical
infrastructure and key resources. The workshop will focus on a key subset of the critical
infrastructure sectors.

Topics
The scope of this workshop will be limited to the following topics:
1. State-of-the-art simulations, models, tools and methods for representing
and analyzing critical infrastructure Deterministic vs. stochastic models; system dynamics-based models;
agent-based models; discreet-event models; hybrid models; Monte Carlo,
etc. What is the scale and fidelity of the model and can it be scaled and to
what level and maintain fidelity? What assumptions are included in the model? In what type of environment is the model designed to run (e.g. SOA, High
Performance Computing, Stand-alone)?
2. The appropriateness of M&S methods and applications to critical
infrastructure representation Which type of model is best suited for which application and why?
3. Model verification and validation How best to deal with the lack of data? Critical Infrastructure Data Who has it? Where is it? How current is it?
Who maintains it? What attributes are relevant for critical infrastructure M&S needs?
4. Near-term and long-term research direction What are the gaps and needs that should guide research planning efforts
over the next five years?

Workshop Venue
This workshop is scheduled for 28-30 October 2008 at the Virginia Modeling, Analysis
and Simulation Center (VMASC), 1030 University Boulevard, Suffolk, Virginia 23435.

The Virginia Hampton Roads region, home to the Nations largest concentration of
military commands including the largest naval base in the world, is also the second
largest seaport on the east coast of the United States. This region makes for an
appropriate location for a DHS-S&T workshop focused on modeling and simulation of
critical infrastructure.

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VMASC is a multi-disciplinary modeling, simulation and visualization research center of
Old Dominion University. VMASC supports the University's M&S Masters and Ph.D.
degree programs and works in collaboration with more than one hundred industry,
government and academic members on M&S research and develop cross a wide range
of application domains including defense, homeland security, emergency management,
social science, medical, transportation, education and game based learning and
enterprise decision-making.

Participation
Approximately 100 leaders and subject matter experts will be invited from the
Department of Homeland Security (NISAC, IMACC, FEMA, OIP and S&T), federal
laboratories, other federal agencies such as Departments of Defense (NORTHCOM,
JFCOM, DTRA and DARPA), Transportation and Energy, as well as NASA, NOAA,
GAO, EPA, NRC USGS, FHWA and FDA. Participation will also be sought from state
and regional preparedness agencies, academia, industry and foreign governments and
agencies.

Workshop participants should include SMEs, researchers and M&S practitioners from
the CI/KR domain who can help frame, develop and assess current M&S capabilities
and future requirements. The workshop synthesis group will produce a proceedings
that conceptual and programmatic approaches to improve methodologies and metrics to
aid decision makers in framing and making infrastructure and basing decisions.

Given the significance and broad applicability of critical infrastructure modeling and
simulation, there is likely to be international interest in this workshop, Therefore, the
workshop be conducted with no classification so that international scenarios,
capabilities and capacities may be openly considered and discussed.

Workshop Structure and Format
The format of the workshop is: Keynote
Speakers Presentations, Panels The presentations and panels will be discussing
background useful for the breakout sessions Breakout sessions and reports There will be four breakout groups each
assigned one of the four topics to discuss and report on. While group members
will rotate from one group to another, the chairs and co-chairs of each group
will be fixed in order to maintain continuity.

Speakers will be asked to submit a short abstract. The output of the workshop will
consist of: i) the set of abstracts, all presentations and a copy of the breakout reports; ii)
a selected number of presenters will be invited to submit a full paper that would be due
2 months after the conference. The tentative plan is to have papers together with the
breakout reports be reviewed and the final version to be included in a special issue of a
journal or an edited book.
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Future Directions in Critical Infrastructure Modeling & Simulation

AGENDA

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Time Event/Activity
Speaker
12:30 1:00pm
Registration

1:00 1:10 pm
Welcome and Administrative Remarks

1:10 1:20 pm
Workshop Kickoff Address

1:20 1:35 pm
Modeling and Simulation for the Nations
Critical Infrastructure Protection
Christopher Doyle, Director,
Infrastructure Geophysical
Division, DHS
1:35 1:50 pm
National Infrastructure Simulation and
Analysis Center (NISAC)
Merrick E. Krause, Director,
Analysis & Strategy Division
Office of Infrastructure
Protection, DHS
1:50 2:30 pm
Gaps and Needs OIP Perspective
Leslie Anne Sibick, Chief,
Research and Development
Analysis/NISAC, Office of
Infrastructure Protection, DHS
2:30 2:45 pm
Break

2:45 3:00 pm
FEMA Emergency Management, the
National Response Framework and M&S
Needs

3:00 3:45 pm
Homeland Infrastructure Foundation Level
Dataset (HIFLD) Working Group and the
Homeland Security Infrastructure
Protection (HSIP) Gold data set
Justin Sherin
The HIFLD Working Group
3:45 4:30 pm
Critical Infrastructure Owners Perspective
Drinking Water/Wastewater;
Commercial Facilities; Food & Agriculture;
Transportation; Urban Mass Transit

4:30 5:15 pm
Virginia Security State Fusion Centers
and M&S

6:00 7:00 pm
Reception


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Future Directions in Critical Infrastructure Modeling & Simulation

AGENDA

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Time Event/Activity
Speaker/Session
Chairs
7:00 8:00 am
Continental Breakfast